Bitcoin Exchange Revenue Analyzer

Model fee revenue from offering Bitcoin buy and sell services to your customers or members. Adjust adoption, fees, and turnover to see how a Bitcoin exchange line could contribute to non-interest income.

Start with your institution

Search any US bank or credit union to auto-fill the model with their latest call report deposits. You can adjust every other input afterwards.

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Model Inputs

Or pick an Archetype

The De Novo Trust preset models a digital-asset-focused charter; these institutions report materially higher adoption than established retail banks.


Customer Base

$1.00B
$100M$50B
$25,000

Used to estimate customer or member count. Credit unions typically run $15k–$25k; community banks $25k–$60k.

$5k$100k
40,000

Derived from deposits divided by average balance.


Adoption

5.0%

Bank-customer adoption surveys typically report 5%–15% intent. Pilots have come in lower; 1%–5% is a conservative starting range. Sources: NYDIG Bitcoin + Banking Survey (2021) · Cornerstone Advisors research, Forbes (2021)

0.5%30%
$2,000
$100$20k
1.5×

1× treats the first purchase as buy-and-hold — only the buy side transacts. 2× means each dollar bought is also sold within the year; sell-side activity scales with the multiplier above 1×.

1.0×6.0×

Fee Economics

1.00%

Charged on each buy and each sell. Bank-channel pricing typically lands in the 0.50%–1.50% range.

0%3%
0.30%

Pass-through cost paid to your BTC liquidity provider on each side. Bank-channel wholesale quotes typically run 0.20%–0.50%.

0%1.5%
$0.25

Tech, processing, and travel-rule overhead per buy or sell.

$0$2.00

Custody Revenue (Optional)

60%

Share of adopters who keep BTC in the bank's custody rather than self-withdrawing.

0%100%
0.25%

Annual AUC fee on customer-held bitcoin balances.

0%1.0%

Time Horizon

$62,000

Default as of June 2026 — adjust to the current market price.

Affects BTC unit conversion only. Does not change USD volume or USD revenue.

Key assumption: Headline metrics show steady-state (terminal adoption). The multi-year chart adds an onboarding ramp, defaulting to 50% / 85% / 100% / 105% / 110% of terminal adoption across years 1–5.

Steady-state (post-ramp) — Year 1 of the projection runs at 50% of these figures

Customers Adopting

2,000

of 40,000 estimated

Annual Volume (USD)

$6.00M

Buys + sells combined

Bitcoin Bought

42 BTC

First-purchase volume

Net Annual Revenue

$22.5K

— bps of deposits

Revenue Build-Up (steady state)

Multi-Year Projection

Exchange fees
Custody / AUC

Net Revenue by Adoption Rate

% of customers who buy bitcoin

Revenue Composition (steady state)

Exchange (net): $20.0K (89%)
Custody: $2.5K (11%)

Custody adds an annuity-like revenue stream that compounds with held balances.

Sensitivity: adoption rate × avg first purchase (steady-state, net)

Model Assumptions & Notes

Volume vs. revenue. Annual volume is total buy + sell flow. Fee per side applies once to each side.
Customer count is estimated. Bank call reports do not disclose customer counts; the model derives them from total deposits divided by average balance.
Liquidity costs are pass-through. The LP spread reduces gross fees on each side. Per-transaction cost covers tech and processing.
Custody is optional. Custody revenue applies only to the share of adopters who keep their bitcoin in the bank's custody. In the multi-year view, held balances accumulate: each year's custodied purchases add to prior years' balances.
No price speculation. Bitcoin price affects the BTC-denominated number only; it does not change USD volume or USD revenue.
Multi-year ramp. Year 1 reflects 50% of terminal adoption to model onboarding. Years 2–5 ramp to 85% / 100% / 105% / 110% of terminal.

This tool is provided for educational and informational purposes only. It does not constitute legal, financial, investment, tax, or accounting advice, and its outputs are illustrative approximations rather than projections of any institution's actual results. Consult your own legal, financial, and compliance advisors before making business decisions. Institution data is sourced from FDIC BankFind Suite (banks) and NCUA Quarterly Call Report Data (credit unions).

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